A developer must understand common thinking errors. These errors can affect how data is understood. Learning these errors helps a developer make better decisions.
By Pawan Nayar · from the LLOS AI Learning record
A developer must understand common thinking errors.
These errors can affect how data is understood. Learning these errors helps a developer make better decisions.
Data sufficiency asks if there is enough information to answer a question. Base rate neglect means ignoring general probabilities. Proxy metrics are measurements used when the real thing cannot be measured directly. Survivorship bias happens when only successful examples are studied. Simpson's Paradox shows how trends can disappear or reverse when data groups are combined. The Y-axis trap is when graphs mislead by changing the scale. Relative versus absolute risk explains how 'double the risk' can still be a very small risk. Systems thinking looks at how parts of a system affect each other. Trade-offs are choices made when resources are limited.
A developer is building a system to predict customer churn. The developer only looks at data from customers who have already left. This is survivorship bias. The system might not learn why other customers stay. The prediction will be less accurate.
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When a developer offers choices for a project, the developer must explain what each choice includes. This means describing what is new, what is reused, and what is uncertain.
Feeling guilty when saying 'no' is a signal. This signal helps a person avoid resentment later.
A developer must understand common thinking errors. These errors can affect how data is understood. Learning these errors helps a developer make better decisions.