Card 07
🌭 🥓 ☠️
A headline says: "Eating bacon increases your risk of Rare Eye Cancer by 50%!" Should you stop eating bacon?
💭 How to Think About This
50% sounds huge (like a coin flip!). But 50% of what? This is the battle between Relative Risk (scary) and Absolute Risk (reality).
Evaluate the danger:
🤔 Which thinking lens(es) did you use?
Select all the lenses you used:
👨👩👧 For Parents & Teachers
🌱 Everyday Math
Salesperson: "This lottery ticket gives you 2x the chance of winning!"
Parent: "What was the chance before?"
Salesperson: "One in a billion."
Parent: "So now it's Two in a billion. I'm still not buying it."