Card 12
โฝ ๐ ๐
A rookie soccer player scores 3 goals in his very first game! Is he the next superstar?
๐ญ How to Think About This
In data, extreme events (Amazing luck or Terrible luck) are usually followed by normal events. This is called Regression to the Mean (or Statistical Gravity).
Make a prediction:
๐ค Which thinking lens(es) did you use?
Select all the lenses you used:
๐จโ๐ฉโ๐ง For Parents & Teachers
๐ฑ Everyday Luck
Kid: "I got a 100 on the history test without studying! I'm a genius!"
Parent: "That's great! But that might have been lucky guessing. Don't count on lucky
guessing for the next test. Study."
(Preventing false confidence).