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LLOS.ai · Thinking Lab

Cherry-Picking

Every fact true, the whole picture false.

Three wins get mentioned; the ten losses do not. The five people the diet worked for get a testimonial; the ninety-five it failed never appear. Nothing here has to be a lie for the result to be thoroughly misleading.

27of 32 cards
4hints, in order
7thinking lenses
~10minutes

The question

Write your answer before you read anyone else's
Card 27 · Critical Thinking
🍒 📊 🙈

What if I only show you the data that supports my view?

💭 How to think about this

"My team won 3 games!" (Ignoring the 10 losses). "This diet worked for these 5 people!" (Ignoring the 95 it failed for). Selectively presenting ONLY favorable data while hiding unfavorable data - that's cherry-picking!

Four hints, in order

Each one unlocks the next
🔒 Write a line or two above and the hints unlock.

CHERRY-PICKING = selectively choosing data that supports your conclusion while ignoring data that contradicts it. Like picking only the good cherries and leaving bad ones - you present only part of reality! The data shown might be TRUE, but incomplete = misleading!

The data presented IS real and verifiable - that's the trick! You can't say it's false. But without CONTEXT (the full picture), it creates a distorted impression. Technically honest, fundamentally deceptive. You need ALL the data to judge fairly!

• Testimonials ("It worked for ME!") ignoring failures

• Showing profit months, hiding loss months

• Citing one study supporting view, ignoring 10 contradicting

• Highlighting opponent's worst moments, hiding your own

• Climate deniers showing cold days, ignoring warming trend

Ask: "What's the FULL dataset?" "How many total cases?" "What about data that doesn't fit?" "Were there failures?" Demand the COMPLETE picture! Good science shows ALL results - successes AND failures. Transparency matters!

Cherry-picking selectively presents only favorable data while suppressing unfavorable data!

How it manipulates:

• Data shown is REAL (technically true)

• But INCOMPLETE (missing contradicting data)

• Creates false impression through omission

• Hard to detect without full context

Real-world impact:

• "90% of our customers are satisfied!" (What about the other 10%? How many didn't respond?)

• Showing graph starting at convenient point to exaggerate changes

• Stock promoters showing winning picks, hiding losses

• Diet ads showing success stories, not typical results

Statistical version:

Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy: Shoot at barn, then paint target around bullet holes. Cherry-pick pattern AFTER seeing data!

Critical questions:

1. What's the COMPLETE dataset?

2. How was data selected?

3. What data contradicts this?

4. What's being left out?

Remember: Honest analysis shows ALL data, even what doesn't fit the desired narrative!

Which thinking lens did you use?

Select every one that applies

For parents & teachers

What this card is really practising

🌱 Story Seed

"I got 3 A's this semester!" Dad asked: "What about the other subjects?" "Um... let's not talk about those." "That's cherry-picking, kiddo. Tell me the full picture so we can work on the others!"

Discussion Guide →
  • Full picture practice: When kids share wins, ask about challenges too
  • Ads and reviews: Notice when only positive testimonials are shown
  • Sports stats: "Player has 10 goals!" - but what about misses?
  • Self-awareness: Do WE cherry-pick when telling stories about ourselves?

Keep going

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